We study the Fisher information (FI) matrix of Markov switching vector autoregressive moving average (MS VARMA) models and derive an explicit expression in closed form for the asymptotic FI matrix of the underlying model. Our result is more general than the available one in the literature for linear VARMA models, which has been recently studied in Bao and Hua (2014), in two respects. First, we treat the variance of the error term in a more general setting rather than considering it as a nuisance parameter. Then, we consider non-trivial intercept in the MS VARMA model. Under general conditions, the asymptotic FI matrix can be used to derive the asymptotic covariance matrix of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator of the model parameters. Some examples and numerical applications illustrate the results.
Asymptotic Fisher information matrix of Markov switching VARMA models / Cavicchioli, Maddalena. - In: JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS. - ISSN 0047-259X. - 157:(2017), pp. 124-135. [10.1016/j.jmva.2017.03.004]
Asymptotic Fisher information matrix of Markov switching VARMA models
CAVICCHIOLI, MADDALENA
2017
Abstract
We study the Fisher information (FI) matrix of Markov switching vector autoregressive moving average (MS VARMA) models and derive an explicit expression in closed form for the asymptotic FI matrix of the underlying model. Our result is more general than the available one in the literature for linear VARMA models, which has been recently studied in Bao and Hua (2014), in two respects. First, we treat the variance of the error term in a more general setting rather than considering it as a nuisance parameter. Then, we consider non-trivial intercept in the MS VARMA model. Under general conditions, the asymptotic FI matrix can be used to derive the asymptotic covariance matrix of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator of the model parameters. Some examples and numerical applications illustrate the results.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|
final_publication_JMVA.pdf
Open access
Tipologia:
VOR - Versione pubblicata dall'editore
Dimensione
441.03 kB
Formato
Adobe PDF
|
441.03 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizza/Apri |
Pubblicazioni consigliate
I metadati presenti in IRIS UNIMORE sono rilasciati con licenza Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal, mentre i file delle pubblicazioni sono rilasciati con licenza Attribuzione 4.0 Internazionale (CC BY 4.0), salvo diversa indicazione.
In caso di violazione di copyright, contattare Supporto Iris