This paper investigates the relationship between real export and real GDP in Italy from 1863 to 2004 by using cointegration analysis and causality tests. The outcome suggests that these variables comove in the long run but the direction of causality depends on the level of economic development: in the period prior to WW1 the growth of the Italian economy led that of exports, while in the post-WW2 period the causal relationship was reversed with the expansion of exports that determined the growth of the Italian economy.

Pistoresi, Barbara e Alberto, Rinaldi. "Exports and Italy's economic growth: a long-run perspective (1863-2004)" Working paper, MATERIALI DI DISCUSSIONE, Dipartimento di Economia Politica - Università di Modena e Reggio Emilia, 2011. https://doi.org/10.25431/11380_653449

Exports and Italy's economic growth: a long-run perspective (1863-2004)

PISTORESI, Barbara;RINALDI, Alberto
2011

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between real export and real GDP in Italy from 1863 to 2004 by using cointegration analysis and causality tests. The outcome suggests that these variables comove in the long run but the direction of causality depends on the level of economic development: in the period prior to WW1 the growth of the Italian economy led that of exports, while in the post-WW2 period the causal relationship was reversed with the expansion of exports that determined the growth of the Italian economy.
Maggio
Pistoresi, Barbara; Rinaldi, Alberto
Pistoresi, Barbara e Alberto, Rinaldi. "Exports and Italy's economic growth: a long-run perspective (1863-2004)" Working paper, MATERIALI DI DISCUSSIONE, Dipartimento di Economia Politica - Università di Modena e Reggio Emilia, 2011. https://doi.org/10.25431/11380_653449
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/11380/653449
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