Relevance of reduced portal flow velocity, low platelet count and enlarged spleen diameter in the non-invasive diagnosis of compensated liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this prospective study was to identify the combination of parameters best able to predict the diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: One hundred and fourteen patients with suspected chronic compensated liver disease were divided, on the basis of bioptical findings, into two groups: group A, without cirrhosis (n = 58) and group B, with cirrhosis (n = 56). A number of biochemical parameters, the extent of oesophageal varices, spleen size, portal vein diameter and maximum and mean portal flow velocity measured by duplex-Doppler ultrasonography were taken into account in a binary forward-stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Only three variables were present in the final regression equation, maximum portal flow velocity affording the highest correlation with the histological diagnosis of cirrhosis (p = 0.0007), with an overall predictive value of 87.7%. When associated with the bipolar diameter of the spleen (p = 0.0169) and the number of platelets (p = 0.0487), the predictive value rose to 94.7%. If all three parameters were normal, a non-cirrhotic liver disease was most likely (96% probability); if two or three of the parameters were abnormal, liver cirrhosis was almost certain (98% probability); if only one parameter was abnormal, the clinical diagnosis was uncertain. CONCLUSIONS: This study emphasizes the usefulness of duplex Doppler ultrasonography in the non-invasive diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis.