The aim of this paper is to propose new normalization schemes for the values obtained from the generalized forecast error variance decomposition, in order to obtain more reliable net spillover measures. We provide a review of various matrix normalization schemes used in different application domains. The intention is to contribute to the financial econometrics literature aimed at building a bridge between different approaches able to detect spillover effects, such as spatial regressions and network analyses. Considering DGPs characterized by different degrees of correlation and persistence, we show that the popular row normalization scheme proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012), as well as the alternative column normalization scheme, may lead to inaccurate measures of net contributions (NET spillovers) in terms of risk transmission. Results are based on simulations and show that the number of errors increases as the correlation between the variable increases. The normalization schemes we suggest overcome these limits.

Caloia, F. G., A., Cipollini e S., Muzzioli. "A note on normalization schemes: The case of generalized forecast error variance decompositions" Working paper, DEMB WORKING PAPER SERIES, Dipartimento di Economia Marco Biagi - Università di Modena e Reggio Emilia, 2016. https://doi.org/10.25431/11380_1122976

A note on normalization schemes: The case of generalized forecast error variance decompositions

Caloia, F. G.;Cipollini, A.;Muzzioli, S.
2016

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to propose new normalization schemes for the values obtained from the generalized forecast error variance decomposition, in order to obtain more reliable net spillover measures. We provide a review of various matrix normalization schemes used in different application domains. The intention is to contribute to the financial econometrics literature aimed at building a bridge between different approaches able to detect spillover effects, such as spatial regressions and network analyses. Considering DGPs characterized by different degrees of correlation and persistence, we show that the popular row normalization scheme proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012), as well as the alternative column normalization scheme, may lead to inaccurate measures of net contributions (NET spillovers) in terms of risk transmission. Results are based on simulations and show that the number of errors increases as the correlation between the variable increases. The normalization schemes we suggest overcome these limits.
2016
Agosto
Caloia, F. G.; Cipollini, A.; Muzzioli, S.
Caloia, F. G., A., Cipollini e S., Muzzioli. "A note on normalization schemes: The case of generalized forecast error variance decompositions" Working paper, DEMB WORKING PAPER SERIES, Dipartimento di Economia Marco Biagi - Università di Modena e Reggio Emilia, 2016. https://doi.org/10.25431/11380_1122976
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
0092.pdf

Open access

Tipologia: Versione pubblicata dall'editore
Dimensione 1.18 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.18 MB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri
Pubblicazioni consigliate

Licenza Creative Commons
I metadati presenti in IRIS UNIMORE sono rilasciati con licenza Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal, mentre i file delle pubblicazioni sono rilasciati con licenza Attribuzione 4.0 Internazionale (CC BY 4.0), salvo diversa indicazione.
In caso di violazione di copyright, contattare Supporto Iris

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11380/1122976
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact