This paper investigates the dynamic effects of common macroeconomic shocks in shaping business cycle fluctuations in a group of Euro-area countries. In particular, by using the structural (near)VAR methodology, we investigate the effect of area-wide shocks, with particular attention to monetary policy shocks. The main conclusion is that: (a) contractionary monetary policy shocks cause similar recessionary effects in all countries; (b) as far as business cycle fluctuations are concerned, there is a separation into two distinct groups of countries, with a first group including the biggest European economies in which business cycle fluctuations are mainly explained by common, area-wide shocks and a second one, including Greece, Ireland and Portugal, in which the national shocks play, instead, a much greater role.
Common Macroeconomic Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Euro Area Countries / Cavallo, Antonella; Ribba, Antonio. - In: INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE. - ISSN 1059-0560. - STAMPA. - 38:July(2015), pp. 377-392. [10.1016/j.iref.2015.03.006]
Common Macroeconomic Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Euro Area Countries
CAVALLO, ANTONELLA;RIBBA, Antonio
2015
Abstract
This paper investigates the dynamic effects of common macroeconomic shocks in shaping business cycle fluctuations in a group of Euro-area countries. In particular, by using the structural (near)VAR methodology, we investigate the effect of area-wide shocks, with particular attention to monetary policy shocks. The main conclusion is that: (a) contractionary monetary policy shocks cause similar recessionary effects in all countries; (b) as far as business cycle fluctuations are concerned, there is a separation into two distinct groups of countries, with a first group including the biggest European economies in which business cycle fluctuations are mainly explained by common, area-wide shocks and a second one, including Greece, Ireland and Portugal, in which the national shocks play, instead, a much greater role.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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