The behaviour of the daily minimum, mean and maximum temperatures was already found to be given by the sum of a deterministic function of the day and a stationary normal process with zero mean. Its standard deviations for the three temperatures observed in the period 1892-1974 are given. This is a measure of the error in the long term prediction of daily temperatures. The normal process is found to be well represented by an autoregressive- moving average process.

Statistical forecasting of daily temperatures / Balestri, Lorenzo; Cecchi, Rodolfo; Marseguerra, Marzio; Morelli, Sandra; Rivasi, Maria Rosa; Santangelo, Renato. - In: EOS. - ISSN 0096-3941. - STAMPA. - 58, n.9:(1977), p. 907. (Intervento presentato al convegno IVth European Geophysical Society Meeting, tenutosi a Munich (Germany) nel 6-9 September 1977).

Statistical forecasting of daily temperatures

BALESTRI, Lorenzo;CECCHI, Rodolfo;MARSEGUERRA, Marzio;MORELLI, Sandra;RIVASI, Maria Rosa;SANTANGELO, Renato
1977

Abstract

The behaviour of the daily minimum, mean and maximum temperatures was already found to be given by the sum of a deterministic function of the day and a stationary normal process with zero mean. Its standard deviations for the three temperatures observed in the period 1892-1974 are given. This is a measure of the error in the long term prediction of daily temperatures. The normal process is found to be well represented by an autoregressive- moving average process.
1977
EOS
58, n.9
907
Balestri, Lorenzo; Cecchi, Rodolfo; Marseguerra, Marzio; Morelli, Sandra; Rivasi, Maria Rosa; Santangelo, Renato
Statistical forecasting of daily temperatures / Balestri, Lorenzo; Cecchi, Rodolfo; Marseguerra, Marzio; Morelli, Sandra; Rivasi, Maria Rosa; Santangelo, Renato. - In: EOS. - ISSN 0096-3941. - STAMPA. - 58, n.9:(1977), p. 907. (Intervento presentato al convegno IVth European Geophysical Society Meeting, tenutosi a Munich (Germany) nel 6-9 September 1977).
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.
Pubblicazioni consigliate

Licenza Creative Commons
I metadati presenti in IRIS UNIMORE sono rilasciati con licenza Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal, mentre i file delle pubblicazioni sono rilasciati con licenza Attribuzione 4.0 Internazionale (CC BY 4.0), salvo diversa indicazione.
In caso di violazione di copyright, contattare Supporto Iris

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11380/742941
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact