We study the effects of government spending by using a structural, large dimensional, dynamic factor model. We find that the government spending shock is non-fundamental for the variables commonly used in the structural VAR literature, so that its impulse response functions cannot be consistently estimated by means of a VAR. Government spending raises both consumption and investment, with no evidence of crowding out. The impact multiplier is 1.7 and the long run multiplier is 0.6.

Fiscal Foresight and the Effects of Government Spending / Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca. - STAMPA. - (2010), pp. 1-34.

Fiscal Foresight and the Effects of Government Spending

FORNI, Mario;GAMBETTI, Luca
2010

Abstract

We study the effects of government spending by using a structural, large dimensional, dynamic factor model. We find that the government spending shock is non-fundamental for the variables commonly used in the structural VAR literature, so that its impulse response functions cannot be consistently estimated by means of a VAR. Government spending raises both consumption and investment, with no evidence of crowding out. The impact multiplier is 1.7 and the long run multiplier is 0.6.
2010
1
34
Fiscal Foresight and the Effects of Government Spending / Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca. - STAMPA. - (2010), pp. 1-34.
Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11380/640823
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